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ABSTRACT

Horndal at Heathrow?
Co-operation, Learning and Innovation:
Investigating the Processes of Runway Capacity
Creation at Europe's Most Congested Airports

CRIC Discussion Paper No. 46

Dr Bruce Tether & Professor J Stan Metcalfe

Europe's most congested airports are London Heathrow, London Gatwick and Frankfurt. There, demand for take-off and landing slots has exceeded the available supply for many years. Yet, in the face of persistent growth in air traffic activities, these airports have achieved remarkable increases in their capacity to handle flights, despite retaining the same basic infrastructures. In this these airports share a broad similarity with the Horndal iron works in Sweden, which were discovered to have increased their output in the 1930s despite retaining the same basic technologies. This phenomenon became known as the 'Horndal effect', and is at origin of the debate started by Arrow on 'learning by doing'. Thus, we ask, is there a 'Horndal effect' apparent at Heathrow, Gatwick and Frankfurt?

In investigating this growth of capacity we draw on detailed case study work, but are concerned with four theoretically oriented matters. Firstly, exploring innovation in services - which innovation studies have largely neglected in favour of manufacturing. The difference is non-trivial, as services such as air traffic control are 'co-produced' - that is they are produced jointly by the provider and the users. This means operations are dependent on co-operation in the literal sense of the term - operating jointly. This brings to the fore the importance of rules and routines, both in defining operating practices and to reduce conflict over the allocation of scarce resources. But co-operation in the second sense of a willingness to work together for mutual gain is also important, particularly to the innovation process, as co-production means neither the provider nor the user can introduce unilateral changes to the operating process.

This leads us into exploring the second issue, which is innovation as a distributed process (between agents) of learning by interacting and co-operating (in both senses of the term). Because airport (runway) operations are 'co-produced' mutually beneficial innovations aimed at providing additional capacity from the existing infrastructure (i.e., runways) must be negotiated to a much greater extent than is common in manufacturing, where one agent (the manufacturer) generally owns and controls the processes by which 'its goods' are produced. This in turn influences the pattern of innovation that is acceptable, and blocks innovations that are not acceptable to all of the co-production partners.

Thirdly, we emphasise the importance of procedural change, or 'soft innovation', as a complement to innovation through the adoption or incorporation of capital equipment. In this sense we are attempting to break-open the 'black box' of 'learning by doing'. Although procedural changes are rarely visible to the layman, they are clearly significant in finding efficiencies in the operation of service systems such as airports. Moreover, and although we accept that some 'automatic' learning-by-doing occurs (as a product of experience), by understanding the processes of seeking improved efficiencies through procedural change we show that not all 'learning-by-doing' is an automatic, sub-conscious, activity.

A fourth interesting feature is the gradual transformation in the sources of knowledge used for innovation. Initially, innovations for capacity enhancement were heavily dependent on context dependent operating knowledge, combined with knowledge of (or seeking knowledge of) what changes to the existing operating procedures would be acceptable to all of the co-production agents. Gradually, however, the scope for such change has been reduced (i.e., used up), but as the pressure to increase capacity has remained, attention has turned to investigating the scope for change to the basic institutions (such as aircraft separation distances) that were originally based on experience rather than scientific research. This has meant the incorporation of more formal methods (such as mathematical modelling, including simulation modelling, as well as the use of scientific methods to measure such thing as aircraft wake turbulence) into the process of seeking possible improvements to the efficiency of operations. This change in the sources of knowledge has been accompanied by a change in the agents participating in the 'system of innovation'. Finally, we reconsider the nature of 'systems of innovation'. Rather than being national or sectoral, we consider that they can be constructed around a problem, which may be contingent and evolving, but which acts as a focusing device around which 'the system of innovation' is constructed.

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